Saturday, October 11, 2014

"HIGHLIGHTS-IMF, World Bank 2014 fall meetings in Washington on Saturday"

Via the Thompson Reuters Foundation:

The following are highlights from the International Monetary Fund and World Bank meetings on Saturday in Washington, where finance ministers and central bankers from around the globe are gathered.

Many of the comments come from texts that were prepared for delivery to the IMF's steering committee, the International Monetary and Financial Committee, on Saturday.


IMF STEERING COMMITTEE COMMUNIQUE
ON GLOBAL ECONOMY
"An uneven recovery continues, despite setbacks. A number of countries face the prospect of low or slowing growth, with unemployment remaining unacceptably high. A revival in economic activity is underway in some advanced economies, notably in the United States and United Kingdom. The recovery is modest in Japan, and tentative in the euro area. Growth remains firm and should increase moderately across many emerging market economies, and will generally remain buoyant in low-income developing countries.

"Downside risks arise from the challenges associated with monetary normalization in some advanced economies, protracted below-target inflation in others, increased risk-taking amidst low volatility in financial markets, and heightened geopolitical tensions."

ON FISCAL POLICY
"Fiscal strategies should continue to be implemented flexibly so as to support growth and job creation, while placing debt as a share of GDP on a sustainable path. To enhance the contribution of fiscal strategies to growth, countries should consider changes in the composition and quality of government expenditures and revenues.

"Formulation and implementation of concrete medium-term fiscal consolidation plans remains crucial in many advanced economies. Emerging market and low-income developing economies should rebuild fiscal buffers where needed, including through revenue mobilization. Countries should strengthen institutional frameworks to manage fiscal risks, while reorienting expenditure toward essential public services and better targeting subsidies."


INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND MANAGING DIRECTOR CHRISTINE LAGARDE
"What I take out of those meetings is number one that growth is back. Let's face it. We have recovery. It's not the most vibrant and as high growth as we would like to absorb the job seekers, for instance, but we have growth and we have recovery. And the whole point of that meeting was to put a little bit of fire in the room so that policymakers - governors of central banks - be energized by their discussion, their note-comparing, so that then they could go home. ... I would say: Implementation, be brave. Get on with it and use all your tools."

"Given the depth of the financial crisis, the fact that it was a financial crisis that went viral and global in next to no time, and was accompanied by a real estate crisis in many of the largest economies as well, I think it's often the case that those crises of such depth and significance actually take a long time to be rooted out.

"Added to that you have a landscape with aging populations in various countries, with unfortunately quite entrenched rather long-term unemployment, and there are various factors are work in those economies that actually weigh on the potential growth."...MORE